The week of February 17, 2014 was notable for the eye-popping occurrence of the Facebook - WhatsApp deal.
That a technology startup, which achieved a user base of 450 million through
its private messenger service in just three years, could garner a deal value of
USD 19 billion is certainly amazing. Yet, Mark Zuckerberg, the Founder-CEO of
Facebook went on record to say that WhatsApp was worth much more. Analysts say
that the acquisition was a reasoned attempt by Facebook to stay relevant to the
younger generation which has part moved away from its infatuation with Facebook
and part is taken in by the exclusivity, privacy and snappiness of WhatsApp. While
the Facebook - WhatsApp deal has attracted huge interest, one cannot overlook
certain other past technology deals of similar eye-popping nature of their
times. The deals, in fact, are
indicative of an interesting dimension of the technology companies – despite
their rapidly ramped up scales and large market capitalizations they remain
respectful of the value the technologically savvy startups can bring to the future
businesses.
The more
prominent of the past technology deal history has been the Google - YouTube
deal. When Google acquired YouTube in October 2006 at a deal value of USD 1.65
billion, many thought that it was a risky foray by Google into a disorganized
and often self-compelling online video streaming service. Yet, YouTube has
emerged to be one of the most successful technology acquisitions ever, and
probably the most notable amongst all of Google products, aside of the core
Google search engine product. Equally important but not so well known has been
Google’s acquisition of the Android mobile operating system startup in August
2005 for an undisclosed sum. Android has since raced, under Google, to become
the most dominant mobile operating system, overtaking iOS of Apple. Other
notable deals are Microsoft - Hotmail (December 1997, USD 500 million), Microsoft
- Skype (May 2011, USD 8.5 billion), Google - Instagram (April 2012, USD 1
billion) and Yahoo - Tumblr (August
2013, USD 1.1 billion) acquisitions, each with its compelling logic. These
deals, which are only a few of the several scores of the deals that have
happened, and which will no doubt be followed by several others of such unique
nature, signify certain important lessons for corporate sustainability.
Technology
bets as game changers
Many of such
amazing acquisitions are seen to be bets placed by the acquirers on promising
startup technologies and rapidly revving up businesses. When such technologies
succeed in shaping new user functionalities and behaviors, more especially and
more strongly under financially stronger acquirers, they become truly game
changing, as technologies themselves, and for the acquirers’ businesses. While
they seem to be technology bets, they actually signify a wise appreciation by
the larger acquiring firms of the futility of trying to organically emulate the
successful startups against a background of the need for such new technological
functionalities. When a technology ceases to be a futuristic bet and instead
becomes a business booster is a case by case occurrence.
From a
strategy perspective, acquisition of such promising niche technologies and
businesses is validated by the superior performance of such acquired entities
and acquiring firms, post such acquisitions. All these acquisitions point to
such technology bets becoming game changers. Some of these have been huge bets
in a technological sense (technology was not yet proven but the acquirer placed
the bet with financial ease) while some have been huge bets in a financial
sense (technology was well proven but the acquirer placed rather high financial
bid). In the former category we have Google’s acquisition of an unproven
Android at a relatively low price while in the latter case we have Facebook’s
acquisition of the popular WhatsApp at a very hefty price tag. It is also
interesting that in most cases, the branding of the acquired entities continued
to be maintained indicating that niche technologies have their market
followings and brand equities.
Breakthrough
ideas are non-linear
Conventional
strategies tend to be anchored around linear development of technologies and
businesses. For example, if email was successful in the 1990s as a popular
niche technology of instant communication, all subsequent efforts focused on
making the email more powerful and more collaborative, for example an Outlook
version. If Facebook wove an expanding
open social community, Google+ attempted to build multiple circles of
communities. Successful technologies tend to be non-linear, however. Twitter
achieved success with the 140 character instantaneous brevity of messaging.
WhatsApp achieved success through texting service that is both free and
private. Both also built rapidly expanding communities of users. A motor pump can
be continuously improved for performance and power consumption, including
multi-stage draw of water and graded power consumption. A water submersible
pump, however, is a breakthrough technological idea. A laptop battery charger
can be continuously improved for the charging efficiency, power consumption and
form factor. A technology which draws back the laptop’s heat and recharges the
battery would be a niche technology.
Sometimes
non-linear ideas have their roots in the basic and oft forgotten natural
configurations. Most of the Internet firms and search engine firms are
dependent on vast server farms, established on vast tracts of land. Tesla’s
electric car revolution would hinge on a massive battery factory ("giga
factory”) with adjacent solar and wind farms, making Tesla as much a huge power
storage company as a premium electric vehicle company. In future, just as Sun
provides free solar power as nature’s gift to the mankind, manmade satellites
may be designed and launched to provide wifi connectivity all over the world.
Technologists and business persons may, in future, learn more from nature with
inventiveness, and offer new public services with affordability and humility. Conventionally,
technologies have tended to influence new user lifestyles. Non-linear
technologies would increasingly tend to align with human body as well as nature
to develop game changing products and services. Newer technologies would follow
human thoughts and physical capabilities to invent new niche products that could
improve human life and environmental management in an almost limitless
manner.
Technological
efficiency, financial sufficiency
Embracing a
niche idea to serve life or nature, converting the idea to a product using new
or existing technology and influencing customers to use them is often in the
capability of technology-driven startup firms. Large firms have the ability to
innovate new products in a linear fashion, for example from simple Positron
Emission Tomography (PET) to PET combined with Computed Tomography (CT) or with
Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI). In each combination, the number of slices
could increase across generations of equipment (say, from 64 to 360) or the
efficiency of 3 D imaging could be enhanced. These developments are best done
by the medical equipment giants such as GE, Philips and Hitachi. However, the
very basis of PET in the past had been university level researches in the late
1950s (University of Pennsylvania, Washington University School of Medicine, Massachusetts
General Hospital and Brookhaven National Laboratory, for example).
Futuristic radical
biomedical technologies in this domain could be non-linear. Nuclear medicine
and imaging studies require a radio-isotope tracer (or, a radio pharmaceutical)
being injected into the blood stream for imaging. If there were to be new
technologies that make a constituent of the blood itself or the blood volume
and flow rate themselves descriptors of the imaging study, there could emerge a
totally new generation of non-interventionist, bio-friendly non-nuclear medical
diagnostic equipment. Newer, non-linear technologies in any domain make for
efficiency. However, technological efficiency requires financial sufficiency to
germinate and grow. As seen by the PET
example, public funding of such universities and research grants made such
technological innovation possible. However, firms which licensed the
technologies had the financial capability to mass-produce the products and also
achieve increasing levels of technological efficiency in such equipment. In a
technologically virtuous world, there would be far more number of technology
ideas than individual funding opportunities. The academic, industrial and
business ecosystems must evolve in a manner of combining technological
efficiency and financial sufficiency.
From startup
to ramp-up, from passion to fusion
The above
discussion brings us back to the examples that were reviewed at the beginning
of this blog post. Successful startups have technological efficiency but they
need financial solvency to validate their entrepreneurial theorems and ramp up
their business models. While the examples quoted in this post are dramatic
indicators of the practice and potential in the technology space, routinely
hundreds of decrepit as well as robust startups get acquired or co-share and
license their technologies to enable the growth of startups. It is a virtuous
even if occasionally chaotic and brazenly capitalistic world as technological
efficiency and financial sufficiency seek the synergy of each other. The point
at which the synergistic marriage gets made in each case is a matter of
considered judgment and reasoned risk-taking. Despite the virtuosity of this
equation, many times lack of introspective ability on the part of the brilliant
startups and the lack of prospective ability on the part of the financial
behemoths act to derail the virtuous process.
Not to be
outdone, big firms do try to set up mini-laboratories, incubators and venture
teams to bring some of the startup innovation organically into their behemoth
structures. However, behemoths tend to be more adept at scaling up product
lines and businesses rapidly rather than patiently nurturing potential ideas
and products. External startups would continue to be the most important
resource for innovation and new business. The inventiveness and passion of the
technologists and entrepreneurs would continue to be responsible for converting
new ideas into innovative products and then onto scalable businesses. When
inventiveness would mature into practicality and passion would accept fusion on
the part of startups, and when institutional solidity would get flexed by
respect for external technologies and clinical analytics would get overruled by
futuristic visions on the part of corporate majors are the vital time-points of
intersection for the startups and the acquiring firms, respectively. The
equation of adding technological efficiency and financial solvency for
sustainable growth delivers maximum value when the timing is right, and mutual
competencies are well-understood, well-respected and well-supported in the pre-
and post-acquisition scenarios.
Posted by Dr
CB Rao on March 2, 2014
1 comment:
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